As the forecast for potential severe weather Wednesday through Sunday morning inches closer to the Twin Lakes area, KTLO, Classic Hits and the Boot News reached out to National Weather Service (NWS) meteorologist Jeff Hood to get the latest update on what type of severe weather could be in store for area residents as well as a timeline on when the storms will pass through.
Hood says we could see some showers tonight, but the main threat will start to ramp up mid day Wednesday and follow us into the weekend.
Listen:
TRANSCRIPTION:
NWS Meteorologist Jeff Hood:
So, definitely things are gonna start to get active over the next several days. We are gonna be watching for a few storms coming out of northeast Oklahoma later this evening and into the overnight hours. Those are likely going to weaken and remain west of the listenening area, but there could be a few severe thunderstorm or tornado warnings this evening if those storms develop but not looking at a severe weather threat locally during the overnight hours.
Throughout the day on Wednesday, especially during the middle of the day into the early afternoon hours we’re gonna see a cold front begin to move across the state and we will see thunderstorms develop ahead of it. That is the timeframe where we could see some of these thunderstorms become strong to severe over the area.
We do have a pretty large, severe weather risk across the region tomorrow. It encompasses areas from northeast Texas across much of Arkansas. North eastward towards the Great Lakes and the the listening area finds itself right on the edge of the slight-to-the-enhanced risk area. So we’re definitely in play for tomorrow as far as chances for strong severe thunderstorms.
The tornado threat exists and we will be watching every thunderstorm that develops closely, particularly those that get going around the middle of the day into the early afternoon hours to see if they rotate and potentially could produce a tornado, but slightly higher chances for tornadoes exist just east of the area. So perhaps by tomorrow evening, most of the severe weather threat will be to the east of the listening area, perhaps across portions of Northeast Arkansas and far southeastern Missouri.
It doesn’t look like we’re completely in the clear, however. We do anticipate more thunderstorms making their way across the area by early Thursday morning, and we’re not thinking there will be much of a tornado threat Thursday morning, but a few of the stronger thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and perhaps some hail as well.
Each day from Wednesday through Saturday, we will have at least some chance for strong-to-severe thunderstorms across the area. By Saturday, that risk begins to shift southeast of the area, but along with that daily severe weather risk will be a threat for heavy rainfall, and it is a realistic, very heavy rainfall threat.
At this time, our latest forecast for the listening area includes 8-10 inches of rain from Wednesday through Saturday night into Sunday morning. This could be a significant rainfall producer. We have a flood watch in effect, and if you have any travel plans or if your home is affected, or your travel route is affected by any low lying areas or flood prone roads, go ahead and plan now that that could occur later this week as we see these multiple rounds of rain and thunderstorms potentially lead to flash flooding across the area.
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